Commodities

Gold re-enters 2,000 zone; outlook bullish

Gold staged another exciting bullish run early on Tuesday to finally re-enter the 2,000 level after almost two years since its pandemic peak.

Particularly, the price is currently testing the resistance zone of 2,020 from August 2020, making any downside corrections or some consolidation likely at this point as the RSI and the Stochastics flash overbought conditions. That said, neither of those indicators is showing signs of abating, while the MACD continues to gain momentum at two-year highs, reflecting persisting buying forces.

Meanwhile in trend indicators, the shorter-term simple moving averages (SMAs) keep pointing upwards with a steeper positive slope than the longer-term SMAs, endorsing the improving broad outlook in the market.

On the upside, the biggest challenge will be the 2,079 record high and potentially the 2,115 region, where the tentative ascending line that joins the 2011 and 2020 peaks is passing through. A sustainable extension above that boundary may hit a new wall around the 2,300 level taken from the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2,079 – 1,676 downleg.

Should selling pressures resurface, initial support could commence around the 1,975 zone, while a sharper decline below 1,950 could squeeze the price towards the 1,915 – 1,900 area and the 20-day SMA. Lower, the bears could take a rest somewhere near 1,870.Summarizing, gold has opened the gates towards the 2,079 record high after restoring its bullish outlook in the long-term picture. While some stabilization could be normal after the impressive three-day rally, the technical picture suggests buyers may not easily lose their interest in the market.

About the author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics. Previously, she earned a bachelor of science in Economics from the University of Cyprus. Apart from foreign exchange markets, her research interests include the impact of International trade on labour markets and product development.

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