Market Update – September 28/2022

Written by Andria Pichidi
  • USDIndex breaks range and tops at 114.63. Economic data on confidence, durables, home sales, and the Richmond Fed index were stronger than expected, while home prices declined and broke a long string of gains.
  • Yields:  A tweet from DoubleLine Capital’s Gundlach that he was buying Treasuries provided some support along with dip-buying and safe haven demand. The 10-year Treasury yield ended over 5 bps higher, testing 3.99% after having dropped over 10 bps to a low of 3.797%.
  • GBP in a renewed selling, UK bonds sold off sharply, yields on US bonds higher and US stocks to the lowest level since 2020.  10-year gilt on Tuesday rose 26% to hit a 14-year high of 4.5% after the Bank of England’s chief economist Huw Pill said the loosening of fiscal policy announced last week would “require a significant monetary response”.
  • Kwarteng met the heads of companies including Aviva, Legal & General, Royal London, BlackRock, Schroders and Fidelity, to reassure them that his economic strategy would work after days of turmoil in financial markets. Later he spoke to Conservative MPs to calm fears that the government had lost control of the economic situation.
  • IMF criticize Britain’s new economic strategy, saying the proposals are likely to increase inequalityMoody’s warned that unfunded tax cuts were credit negative.
  • EUR – fresh low at 0.9540.
  • JPY traded at 144.70.
  • Stocks: closed mixed with the US100 managing a 0.25% gain, while the US30 declined -0.42%, with the US500 sliding -0.2% to 3647.
  • USOil steady at $77. The energy crisis in Europe intensified as European authorities investigated what Germany, Denmark and Sweden said were attacks which had caused major leaks into the Baltic Sea from two Russian gas pipelines.
  • Gold – drifted to $1619.97.
  • BTC – slide back to $18K area, as stocks fell deeper into a bear market. Ether was also down by less than 1%. – “crypto winter”?

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.77%) extends outside daily BB. Intraday fast MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line are negative, RSI at 23, H1 ATR 0.218, Daily ATR 1.166.

About the author

Andria Pichidi

Having completed her five-year-long studies in the UK, Andria Pichidi has been awarded a BSc in Mathematics and Physics from the University of Bath and a MSc degree in Mathematics, while she holds a postgraduate diploma (PGdip) in Actuarial Science from the University of Leicester.