Mirvac Group (MGR)

Ratings

5 / 5

Dividend

5

2 / 5

Investing

2

2 / 5

ESG

2

Mirvac is one of Australia’s largest residential developers, particularly apartments. Residential development earnings are volatile, generating about a fifth of EBIT in fiscal 2022, despite 88% of the group’s invested capital being allocated to passive property ownership. Over our 10-year discrete forecast period we don’t expect residential development to exceed the lofty peaks seen in 2017, when Mirvac settled 3,400 residential lots, however, we expect modest growth over time as Mirvac gains market share. About 80% of Mirvac’s earnings come from a predictable commercial property portfolio, more than half of which is office and another fourth in retail, a small industrial portfolio, and a fledgling build-to-rent residential portfolio.