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Twitter Buyout Hurts Tesla

Written by Larince Zhang

Last week, the richest person in the world, Elon Musk, confirmed acquisition of Twitter Inc for a total of $44B. To close the deal, Musk committed his own money ($21B), secured borrowings and at the same time offloaded some Tesla stocks.

Latest news reports that the Tesla CEO  sold $8.5B worth of the company shares, consequently “leading to the company dropping below its $147B valuation.

The takeover may divert some of Musk’s attention from his existing businesses including Tesla, which raises investors’ concern. While Musk has the authority to restructure Twitter the way he wants after the acquisition (for example, tweet monetization, easing content moderation, adding an edit button, job cuts, etc), some are worried that this could bring him into conflict over free speech with the government in China, in the end hurting Tesla’s business in the country.

In the latest earnings report, Tesla’s CFO Zach Kirkhorn reiterated long delivery wait times and limited production, especially in China, following Covid shutdowns. Despite rising costs, the company will keep prices of its vehicles unchanged for six months to a year. Consequently, current headwinds may not benefit the company’s profit margin in near term.

Technical Analysis:

Technically, the #Tesla share price plunged and broke the 100-day SMA following news that Twitter Inc. accepted Musk’s acquisition offer. The company share price closed the week at $872.08, about 32% lower than the second LH ($1152.64) formed early this month. $894 (FR 38.2%) serves as the nearest resistance. A rebound above this level would suggest the company share price to extend higher towards the 100-day SMA ($960) and $1028 (FR 23.6%). Otherwise, if bearish pressure persists, support levels to watch include $786.50 (FR 50.0%), $679 (FR 61.8%) and $525 (FR 78.6%).

About the author

Larince Zhang

长达八年的实盘操作与市场分析经验。涉足的金融产品包含外汇、大宗商品、股指、商品期货、指数期货以及股票。大学主修金融学,秉持着学以致用的心态务必把课堂上所学的知识与临场实践经验相结合。 经过多年交易经验的积累与总结,坚信“大道至简”四字箴言。价格的变动即是幕后人为交易买卖所驱使。坚信市场考验的不是技术,而是人心。唯有正确的交易认知、缜密的策略布局与严谨的资金管理,方才是成熟交易的真谛。

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