Visa not only survived the mid-March market rout but also managed to reach a higher high of 234.75 on April 14. It is recording an impressive 34% rally since the October 13, 2022 low of 174.50 and the stock is now trading a tad below the busy 235.75-237.30 area. The bulls are clearly enjoying this period, especially as the short-term bullish trend is supported by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
The momentum indicators though are raising questions about the viability of the current trend. The Average Directional Movement index (ADX) is indicating a muted bullish trend and the RSI appears to be toppy. More interestingly, the stochastic oscillator is trading comfortably at its overbought (OB) territory. While it can stay there for a considerable amount of time, a move below its OB area would clearly be picked up by the bears.
Should the bulls remain in charge, they would face resistance at the busy 235.75-237.30 area populated by the April 29, 2021 high and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the Jul 27, 2021– October 13, 2022 downtrend respectively. Even higher, the path looks clear until the July 27, 2021 high of 252.42.
On the other side, the bears would try to push the stock towards the 222.65-223.76 range, defined by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). If successful in breaking this area, they would quickly come up against both the May 12, 2021 low and 100-day SMA at the 219.93-220.08 range.
To conclude, the bulls are clearly in control, aiming for another push higher. The bears are trying to set up their defense, but desperately need help from the stochastic oscillator.